August 25, 2014
But What if, Gasp, Putin Was Right All Along?!?!?
The irony of the moment is tragic. But to some, it doesn’t come as much of a surprise. Many cautioned against the earlier insistence of the Obama administration (as well as other governments) that Assad must go, fearing what would take hold in the vacuum. One of those critics happened to be Russian President Vladimir Putin, who warned against US intervention in Syria in a New York Times op-ed last September.Um, yeah.
He wrote: “A strike would increase violence and unleash a new wave of terrorism. It could undermine multilateral efforts to resolve the Iranian nuclear problem and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and further destabilise the Middle East and North Africa. It could throw the entire system of international law and order out of balance.”
If you don't think we share common interest with Puti, I have one word for you, its Beslan.
July 17, 2014
Malaysian Airlines 777 and Two Su-22 Jets Downed Over Ukraine
A Malaysia Airlines passenger jet crashed in eastern Ukraine on Thursday, prompting a Ukrainian official to say that the flight carrying 295 people had been shot down.This after two Ukrainian Su-22 jets were downed yesterday.
The Boeing 777 was "shot down" by "terrorists" operating a Buk surface-to-air missile system, according to a Facebook post from Anton Gerashchenko, adviser to the Ukrainian Interior Ministry.
The plane went down near the town on Torez in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine, according to the post, as it flew at about 10,000 meters (32,000 feet).
"We do not exclude that the plane was shot down and confirm that the Ukraine Armed Forces did not fire at any targets in the sky," Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko said, according to his website.
Andriy Lysenko, spokesman for the Ukrainian National Security and Defence Council, said an Su-25 ground attack plane was downed on Wednesday evening.Russia as denied any involvement, but a deleted post by a pro-Russian rebel on the Russian language social network VK appears to claim to have downed the larger jet.
Russia's defence ministry called the accusation "absurd", Russian state media reported.
Rebels in eastern Ukraine say they shot down two Su-25 jets on Wednesday.
Ukraine also alleges rockets were fired at its forces from Russian territory.
17.07.2014 17:50 (MSK) Message from the militia. "In the area Torrez just downed plane An-26, lying somewhere in the mine" Progress ". Warned same - not to fly in "our sky." And here is the video the confirmation of the next "ptichkopada." Birdie fell for waste heap, the residential sector is not caught. Peaceful people do not suffer. And also have information about the second downed aircraft, like the Su. "Possibly the rebels have missiles capable to reaching the 30000 ft cruising altitude of the plane. But that takes a launcher based missile, rather than a so called manpad. But claims that such a launcher was in use by the rebels have been posted.
It appears to be a case of a trigger happy operator for the Ukrainian resistant getting greedy after a couple of successful shootdowns of the Su-22.
I've heard unconfirmed reports that up to 24
Americans Australians were aboard the 777.
Update: A recorded and translated conversation in which Pro-Russian separatists discuss the downing. Thanks to @webradius.
Igor Bezler: We have just shot down a plane. Group Minera. It fell down beyond Yenakievo.Update: Its seems Vladimir's strategy was working pretty well, so long as nothing went terribly terribly wrong.
Vasili Geranin: Pilots. Where are the pilots?
IB: Gone to search for and photograph the plane. Its smoking.
VG: How many minutes ago?
IB: About 30 minutes ago.
SBU comment: After examining the site of the plane the terrorists come to the conclusion that they have shot down a civilian plane. The next part of the conversation took place about 40 minutes later.
“Major”: These are Chernukhin folks show down the plane. From the Chernukhin check point. Those cossacks who are based in Chernukhino.
“Grek”: Yes, Major.
"Major": The plane fell apart in the air. In the area of Petropavlovskaya mine. The first “200” (code word for dead person). We have found the first “200”. A Civilian.
“Greek”: Well, what do you have there?
“Major”: In short, it was 100 percent a passenger (civilian) aircraft.
“Greek”: Are many people there?
“Major”: Holy sh__t! The debris fell right into the yards (of homes).
“Greek”: What kind of aircraft?
“Major”: I haven’t ascertained this. I haven’t been to the main sight. I am only surveying the scene where the first bodies fell. There are the remains of internal brackets, seats and bodies.
“Greek”: Is there anything left of the weapon?
“Major”: Absolutely nothing. Civilian items, medicinal stuff, towels, toilet paper.
“Greek”: Are there documents?
“Major”: Yes, of one Indonesian student. From a university in Thompson.
BREAKING: Reports: Vladimir Putin tells warring sides in Ukraine to lay down their arms, engage in talks.— The Associated Press (@AP) July 18, 2014
May 16, 2014
Putin's Proton Blows
I hate to rub in Russia's failure since they won't sell us rocket motors, wait a minute, no I don't.
CNN: A Russian space rocket launch went sour Friday, destroying the booster and its payload, Russian state media said.Russian Satellite Blues!
Nine minutes after the Proton-M rocket lifted off in Baikonur, Kazakhstan, on Friday, officials on the ground lost contact with the it, ITAR-Tass reported, citing an official from Russia's Federal Space Agency.
Friday's mishap marks the second time a Proton rocket has destructed after liftoff within a year and is one in a series of failures.
In July, an unmanned Proton rocket exploded after liftoff over Kazakhstan.
The rocket had veered off path, causing an emergency system to cut off propulsion.
The rocket, which was carrying a communications satellite into orbit, was about 100 miles high into its ascent at the time and burned up in the atmosphere, the agency reported.
But the agency also said that part of the rocket could be in a "non-intended orbit" and small pieces could fall down to Earth.
April 27, 2014
Return of the USSR?
Just a quick thought on the US vs Russia hub hub. I trust we're probably not going to nuclear war, but if you'll notice the Russian aligned powers are acting as one. In a similar manner as Russian clients behaved during he cold war.
The result, Nothing moves on Syria or Iran. Those issues are on the back burner. Even the Norks will take advantage.
Russia gaining clout and has thrown a wrench into any effort to get them to use their influence on Iran's nuclear program or on Assad's chemical weapons.
If the US and western powers cannot act as one, or continue to act weakly Putin continues to win and some bad situations continue to fester.
The more things change the more they stay the same. It might be to our benefit to dust off some of those old cold war strategies.
But does this disturb me? Not really. The two big dogs fighting will tend to suppress the other conflicts to a point. Besides I've lived through the threat of world destruction before. Ourselves and the Russians had enough sense not to do it. I can't say I trust some of the other powers that far.
Meh. Just don't nuke me ;-)
April 17, 2014
The Putin is Hitler and the Ukraine is the Sudetenland Thing Again
A few weeks ago I noted that historical analogies can be both a blessing and a curse. A blessing when we learn the right things from correctly applying lessons learned from history to similar current events, and a curse when we make the wrong comparisons and thus draw the wrong conclusions.
Is Putin a modern day Hitler? We, especially in the US, tend to focus on Hitler's antisemitism and genocide when thinking about what made Hitler so bad. But WWII didn't start because Hitler was persecuting his own people. It started because he invaded country after country in order to 'protect' German minorities, to right the wrongs of maps that didn't mesh with his dreams of ethnic unity.
Given that, then, yes, Putin is a modern day Hitler. Over at Forbes, Paul Johnson agrees. But he takes the analogy one step further: The Western leaders are modern day Chamberlains:
What’s to stop Putin? The West is led by the modern equivalents of Chamberlain: President François Hollande of France is a political nonentity repudiated by his own compatriots; Prime Minister David Cameron of Britain and Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany have both ruled out the use of force to stop Putin from annexing Ukraine; and worst of all, President Barack Obama–the one man who has the power to stop Putin in his tracks–does nothing. He makes Neville Chamberlain seem like a bellicose activist.Johnson goes on to say that we need to intervene militarily now, before it's too late. As I noted before, it's the same argument that Shirer made in The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich -- had the Western powers intervened when Hitler sent troops into the Rhineland they would have nipped the problem in the bud before Germany had fully built up their military.
The question is ... what should our response be to Putin? Send the military into Ukraine to ensure that Putin doesn't invade is Johnson's idea. He thinks Putin wouldn't dare invade the remaining portions of Ukraine if US/NATO troops were there.
Me? I'm not so sure. If I understand correctly, the US has zero tanks left in Europe. I've no idea how many our NATO allies have but I can't imagine it would be enough to stop a land invasion through the Ukrainian steppe. We have air and sea superiority, but that only goes so far.
Also, the Ukraine isn't a member of NATO. We have no obligation to help it. If the Ukraine wanted our help, it should have signed on the dotted line years ago.
I guess there are two questions that I don't have great answers for: Should we even try to deter Putin from more land grabs so he won't try the same thing in NATO countries like Latvia & Estonia (also with large ethnic Russian enclaves)? And if we should try to nip this in the bud, then what are our feasible options given our weakened post-Cold War military stance in Europe and Europe's chronic under-spending on the military?
March 19, 2014
It's 1938 All Over Again, and Obama is our Chamberlain, the EU our Daladier
I think the title of this post pretty much sums it all up.
The world is reshaping in unexpected (to me) ways. For awhile I had hoped that America could disengage, retreat and rebuild. Let the world sort out it's own problems. But now? I'm not so sure.
The lesson we thought we learned immediately after WWII was that we could have stopped Hitler early on without too much of a fight. But we talked and talked for years, until it was too late. The war came and pulled us kicking and screaming into it. Tens of millions died who would have otherwise lived had we stopped Hitler early on. (See Shirer's Rise & Fall of the Third Reich for the earliest and best defense of this position)
In the 1990s revisionists like Pat Buchanan began to tell us that the real lesson of WWII was that the US didn't need to get involved at all. That the real mistake was choosing sides. It's the Homer Simpson view of foreign relations: we tried and failed miserably, the lesson here: never try.
For some time given our experience in Afghanistan and Iraq I've been partial to that latter, non-interventionist view. We did good in these countries, for sure, but as soon as we left (or leave) the place falls apart. See the Homer Simpson quote above.
This has led to a general attitude on my part that goes something like: Sure, such and such bad thing in the world is a problem, but it's not our problem.
I still feel this way about the Muslim world. It's time for disengagement, not more engagement. Let them handle their problems, I'm through with trying to help. Call me back in 100 or 500 years when you've caught up with the rest of the world. Until then, good luck with that.
But what's going on in the Ukraine? It's far too similar to the Sudetenland crisis to not draw the analogy. Inaction and milquetoast responses by the EU and US far too similar to "Peace in Our Times" to not go there.
Putin isn't Hitler, and while it's easy to forget the past and therefore doom us to repeat it, it's also just as easy to learn the wrong lessons from the past and therefore doom us to repeat it as well.
So, while when making Hitler comparisons we tend to focus on the horrors of the Holocaust, we need to remember that we didn't fight Hitler to stop the holocaust. We fought Hitler because he invaded sovereign states.
But before we fought him, we let him take over Austria bloodlessly. Before we fought him we let him violate the Versailles treaty dozens of times (rearmament). Before we fought him we let him reoccupy the Rhineland even though Germany had "guaranteed" the borders as they stood. We allowed him to take the Sudetenland without a shot fired.
The next year he carved up the rest of Czechoslovakia -- still the Western European powers did nothing. Give diplomacy a chance, the public was told.
All those bloodless invasions were done in the name of uniting Germans abroad with the Motherland, rectifying the artificial boundaries imposed by old empires and post WWI mandates. Many in the West thought this wasn't such a bad idea.
Hitler acted, no one did a thing about it. The lesson learned was that he could act without impunity and no one would do a thing.
It wasn't until Hitler invaded Poland in 1939 that the UK and France responded. And by this time, it was too late: Germany had rearmed to the point that they had the largest, most modern, and most effective military in Europe.
Again, I don't want to take this analogy too far, but we need to remember that the Ukraine isn't the first sovereign country that Russia has invaded in order to put Russian speaking people's living abroad under the protection of Mother Russia. Just ask the people of Moldova how they feel about the Russian occupied "Transnistria" or the people of Georgia about the Russian occupation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
As Michael Totten notes:
That’s not one, not two, but three times Russia has pulled this stunt since the end of the Cold War. Putin is doing it to Ukraine because it worked in Moldova and Georgia.And it has worked in Crimea. Putin acted, the West did nothing: the lesson here is that he can keep taking territory with impunity.
Again, I don't think Putin has some kind of grand plan for Russian lebensraum. At least, I hope not. But it seems clear now that that he does have plans for a Greater Russia. Something like the return of the Russian Empire. Perhaps his plans aren't maximalist (wanting the entire empire back), but neither is it minimalist (content with borders as they stand).
Historically, then, the question is who is right? Shirer, who says Hitler should have been stopped earlier, or Buchanan who says that Hitler wasn't our problem to begin with?
I'd like Buchanan to be right. I'd like the world to be ok without US involvement. I'd like Putin to be someone else's problem.
But I don't think he his. Sizable Russian speaking populations already live within NATO countries, especially in Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Which means that if Putin has plans for the Baltic states, that we are obligated by treaty to come to their defense.
Which makes Putin our problem, whether we want it or not.
So, what's the red line where we say enough is enough? Is it Eastern Ukraine? Belarus (already effectively a Russian puppet state)? Kazakhstan?
I'm not saying we need to go to war with Russia over the Crimea, but if we continue on the path we are on with limp wristed responses that no one in Russia takes seriously then war may in fact come whether we like it or not. That is the irony of WWII: that the very actions meant to avoid war were the actions that led to it and made it much worse than it had to be.
We can put off action to the future, but we do so at the peril of that action being much worse for all parties involved.
March 18, 2014
Everything's Comin' up Putin: Chechen Leader Dead
Hi, I'm Dokku Umarov. I'm in hell.
Putin is finally living the dream of sitting around in his underwear all day, eating a block of cheese the size of his head, annexing parts of a neighboring country with no repercussions, and his mortal enemy dead. Seriously, this guy is having a pretty good year so far.
The Command of the Caucasus Emirate officially announced the martyrdom of the Emir Dokku Abu Usman.And now, he's dead and in hell. Thanks to Admiral Ackbar.
Dokku Abu Usman (Dokku Umarov) went to jihad in 1994, as soon as he learned about the invasion of Chechnya by Russian troops. He gave up his lucrative business in Russia and returned home.
Since then, Dokku Abu Usman was forced to leave Chechnya for several months only once, at the beginning of 2000 due to a severe wound. After treatment, he returned home and continued the Jihad....
In 2007, Dokku Abu Usman raised the banner of monotheism and proclaimed the Caucasus Emirate.
It Begins: Ukrainian Soldier Dead as Russians Storm Base
Bang a gong, it is on:
Troops stormed a Ukrainian base on the outskirts of Simferopol on Tuesday, according to a Ukrainian military spokesman.Normally Hitler comparisons are over-the-top rhetoric. In this case, though, the comparison works.
One Ukrainian officer was initially reported to have been wounded in the neck. The Interfax and Reuters news agencies reported that a soldier had been killed.
Kyiv has blamed Russia for the attack.
Oh, yeah, Russia has "annexed" the Crimea and Putin is -- literally -- laughing at the sanctions the US has placed on them.
March 17, 2014
Crimeans "Vote" to Join Russia
This is looking an awful lot like an old-school Soviet "election":
Crimeans voted overwhelmingly to leave Ukraine and join Russia, election officials said Sunday, capping a heavy-handed campaign that blocked most voters from hearing a vision for any alternative to unification with Moscow.Only 2.5% against? Give me a break. Given a normal distribution of idiocy, at least that many should have accidentally voted no.
Crimean election Spokesman Mikhail Malyshev said the final result was 96.77 percent to rejoin Russia and 2.51 percent against.
Part of the high vote for joining Russia might be explained by opposition groups boycotting the election. We might also cite intimidation as another factor explaining this. But still, even though we all expected the vote to go this way the numbers, as they stand, spell out one thing: FRAUD.
And how is President Obama treating what could very well be this generation's Sudetenland crisis? He's busy all day meeting with the PA President Abbas.
How I long for the good old days of the strong and robust foreign policy of Jimmy Carter.
March 15, 2014
Big Anti-Putin Rally in Moscow (~50k Demonstrators)
I'd like to believe that anti-Putin sentiment was high enough that it would turn Russia from its neo-fascist policy of incorporating any land where there is a majority Russian speaking population. I'd also like to believe cheeseburgers have no calories. Yet, I guess it is a good sign that at least some in Russia's capital are speaking out.
The rally was yesterday and began at Pushkin Square, one of my old haunts back when I lived in Moscow. Of course, what drew me there was a pretty decent peroshki diner and McDonalds. It looks like it proceeded from there to the old "White House" -- the parliament (Duma) building.
What's so ironic here is that Putin keeps citing threats from Ukrainian "fascists" as the justification for taking Ukraine. It's almost like the guy never read anything about Hitler or, say, the Sudetenland at all. At the very least he's banking on the majority of his own people not knowing what fascism is or the history of the Third Reich.
March 12, 2014
Confirmed: Russian Media About as Reliable as Taliban Propaganda these Days
So, the Russian media has been reporting that two US drones were shot down over the Crimea. What's so funny about this is that it sounds eerily similar to the kind of propaganda put out by the Taliban lo these past 13 years in which every day dozens of "crusader forces" are killed in "operations" which also destroy "many enemy tanks". In other words, the Russian media is pretty much just making stuff up at this point:
According to a Voice of Russia report that has now mysteriously vanished, two American drones were shot down over Crimea this morning, including a "heavier, two-engine drone." The story popped up on Reddit's world news front page, and has been floating around Twitter, too. But lest we think World War III broke out over the Black Sea this morning, there are plenty of reasons to think the report, which cites info from Novosti Kryma (News of Crimea), is totally false.Well, at least they pulled the report off their website. So, what is it that the Russian people are being exposed to in its place?
One is that the American military has no two-engine drones.
Never underestimate the power of propaganda when that propaganda reinforces a preexisting underlying paranoia.
March 06, 2014
Act of War: Russia Scuttles Boat to Blockade Ukrainian Navy
Photo src: Black Sea News (Russian language)
Reports from the Crimea indicate that Russia has scuttled one of it's own ships in order to prevent the Ukrainian navy from entering the Black Sea. Even if we suspend reality for a moment and pretend that the "self defense" forces in the Crimea aren't really Russian special forces, blockading the Ukrainian navy is clearly an act of war:
Ukraine Defense Ministry spokesman Lt. Col. Alexei Mazepa said Russian sailors pulled the anti-submarine vessel Ochakov out of a naval junkyard and sank it in the straits that connect the Black Sea with a body of water known as Donuzlav Lake. He said the act was intended to prevent Ukrainian navy ships from leaving a nearby base and going to sea.Meanwhile, the Crimean parliament has green lighted a referendum asking the locals if they would like to become part of Russia:
Lawmakers in Crimea voted today for this mostly Russian enclave to become part of Russia and moved up a referendum to decide the matter to March 16....I especially like that last bit from Pres. Putin. If he's so keen on self-determination, why doesn't he let the Chechens and Dagestanis vote on whether or not they want to remain part of mother Russia?
When Russian President Vladimir Putin was asked two days ago about Russia annexing Crimea, he told reporters: “Only the people who live in a certain territory have the right to decide their own future.”
March 03, 2014
UN Demands Obama Give Back Nobel Peace Prize
Or, headlines we're unlikely to see. How's that smart diplomacy working out for us these days?
Ukraine says Russian forces controlling the strategic region of Crimea are demanding that the crew of two Ukrainian warships must surrender.As per Drew M, it really doesn't matter who is in the White House now -- we're not going to intervene and the Russians really couldn't give a plying puck what an Obama, Romney, or George W. Bush administration thinks. They want the Crimea, they know we can't do a thing about it, so they're taking the Crimea. Beginning, middle, and end of story.
What this episode does, though, is offer us a moment of moral clarity. Whose vision of world politics is right? Those that think that talking is the same as action? Or those that think actions are what matter?
It also helps clarify the position of so-called "international institutions" like the UN. The UN was set up explicitly to end wars of aggression by one state against another state. How's that working out now?
Anyway, I hate gloating over being right about what is a legitimate tragedy but gloating is really all I have at the moment. Go read Drew M's thoughts. I tend to agree.
PS - When you've lost the Washington Post, you've pretty much lost all foreign policy credibility.
February 24, 2014
Big Weekend in Ukraine
Wow, over the weekend President Viktor Yanukovych was impeached, an interim government put in place. And now a warrant had been issued for his arrest. He and his top aids have apparently fled the country.
I'm not sure about the charge of murdering peaceful protesters. It would seem the regime change, exile and new government was what was wanted. It seems there was a lot of violence and the last days of the regime. But maybe that will prevent him from attempting to return from his exile.
Anyway its good this has so far been resolved without civil war, civil wars suck. Just as the Syrians.
February 21, 2014
A Way Out in Kiev?
Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych and opposition protesters have agreed to an early presidential poll before the end of the year.We pray this trend continues and the violence ends.
The German and Polish ministers met protesters in Kiev's Independence Square before announcing their leaders backed the deal.
The agreement was later signed by opposition leaders and Mr Yanukovych at the presidential administration headquarters in Kiev.The 2004 constitution will be restored within 48 hours, and a national unity government will be formed within 10 days.
Constitutional reform balancing the powers of president, government and parliament will be started immediately and completed by September.
A presidential election will be held after the new constitution is adopted but no later than December 2014.
February 20, 2014
Ukraine Spirals Out of Control
CNN:About 100 killed, 500 injured in violence in Ukraine since this morning, protesters' chief medical coordinator says.
A shaky truce crumbled Thursday as gunfire erupted at Independence Square, the center of anti-government protests and an increasingly violent crisis that has left dozens dead and hundreds injured in recent days.
At least 100 people have died and 500 have been injured since Thursday morning, the head of the protesters' medical service told CNN.
The Ukrainian government has not released an updated figure, but the interior ministry said earlier that one police officer was among the dead.
It's unclear what prompted the gunfire just hours after the government declared a truce. But CNN crews at the scene reported that as security forces were moving away from the area, a group of protesters pursued them, throwing rocks and Molotov cocktails.
I included that last video because it claims to be the latest views and shows at least some areas to be fairly calm.
There are a lot of very recent uploads at Ukraine Live.
Live Feeds below the fold.
February 19, 2014
At First Pussy Riot Was All Like
But then they were all.....
Pussy Riot started off looking kind of silly. But then the police allowed themselves to get trolled. Problem handled but not very skillfully.
Update: Apparently RT had second thoughts about publishing the video and made it private.
Here's another copy. I've downloaded in case, you know, the Ministry of Information tries to hide it again. Embedded copy below the fold.
Update II: Wow the Russians must really be ashamed of themselves. (unlisted copy but you may link or embed. More where that came from)
January 21, 2014
If You See These Women Near Sochi, Russia ....
The thing is, Sochi is actually right smack dab in the middle of the Caucuses. The fact that the city is mostly made up of Christian Slavs & not Turkic Muslims has more to do with Soviet ethnic cleansing than with its location. I just hope the bribes to the Olympic Committee were sufficiently large for them to overlook the minor detail of locating a dozen miles from what is essentially a war zone.
Thanks to The Jester.
January 10, 2014
"Separatists" Suspected in String of Russian Bombings
Is it on in Russia? Maybe:
The bodies of three men and explosive material were found Thursday in a vehicle in Maryinskaya in Stavropol province, Russia's Investigative Committee said on its website.And who is suspected in the string of bombings?
A day earlier, a vehicle containing a body exploded in Tambukan, in the same province, as police approached it, and two other bodies were found in other vehicles in Zolskaya Wednesday, the Investigative Committee said.
No group has claimed responsibility for those attacks, but suspicion has fallen on Chechen separatist groups.Chechen separatists.
You literally have to read another 10 paragraphs -- reading about these mysterious and unnamed "militants" several times -- before the article bothers to name the group in the very last paragraph. The paragraph they're banking on you not reading:
Chechen warlord Doku Umarov, leader of the Islamist Caucasus Emirate group, last summer called on his followers to do what they could to disrupt the games.I guess we should be glad they named the group at all.
December 31, 2013
Putin Vows to Annihilate Terrorists
As much as I dislike this guy Putin, I can't say I disagree with his sentiment:
Russian President Vladimir Putin has vowed to fight "terrorists until their complete annihilation", in his first comment on two suicide attacks in the southern city of Volgograd.Our prayers are with the victims.
The attacks, on Sunday and Monday, claimed a total of 34 lives.
Thousands of police are patrolling public transport and checking traffic in the city following the attacks, which injured some 60 people....
Investigators believe a male suicide attacker bombed the trolleybus and are studying fragments of his body in an effort to identify him. Police sources say the attack on the station may also have been the work of a male bomber.
Identical shrapnel was used in the bombs, according to Vladimir Markin, spokesman for Russia's Investigative Committee.
Analysts say the prime suspect for the attack is likely to be Doku Umarov, a fugitive Islamist militant leader from Chechnya.
Meanwhile, the semi-official website of Doku Umarov's group calls the suicide bombers "martyrs", without ever making an official claim that they were behind the two incidents of mass murder.
PS -- here's a bit of free advice to Alash Udugov: you are one dumb sonofabitch if you think the FSB is going to respect Canadian sovereignty and leave you alone. Friends of Udogov in Toronto would do well to pass this message along.
December 30, 2013
Another Bombing in Russia
nother deadly blast has struck the southern Russian city of Volgograd, killing at least 14 people and further highlighting Russia's security challenges as it readies to host the Winter Olympics in less than six weeks.
An explosion hit a trolleybus near a busy market during the morning rush hour Monday, a day after a blast at Volgograd's main train station killed 17 people and wounded at least 35 others.
November 16, 2013
All's Well That Ends Well for Husband of Suicide Bomber in Russia
We've heard of the black widow phenomenon, but what do we call this guy? The black widower?
Nah, let's just call him dead meat:
Ending a nearly monthlong manhunt, security forces killed the husband of a suicide bomber who blew up a public bus last month in the city of Volgograd, Russian officials said Saturday.Sure, the Russians are undemocratic, autocratic, and each day becoming more and more fascistic ... but you know what? They know how to kill terrorists. And that's saying something.
Officials said the husband, Dmitri Sokolov, 21, was killed, along with four others identified as rebels, by security forces in Dagestan, a violence-plagued republic in the North Caucasus....
The bomber, Naida Asiyalova, blew herself up on a crowded No. 29 bus in the center of the city, killing six other passengers in a fiery blast that was recorded by the dashboard camera of a car traveling behind.
Thanks to @intelwire
October 30, 2013
Two Bombs Explode in Makhachkala Dagestan
Two people has been killed, and at least 15 more have been hospitalized after a double explosion hit Makhachkala, the capital of Russia’s restive Dagestan region, according to the country's Emergencies Ministry.Of note is that Boston terrorists Dzhokhar and Tamerlan Tsarnaev spend a lot of time in Makhachkala.
The attack occurred outside two adjacent liquor stores on one of the city's liveliest streets. It appears to have been set off by remotely-activated charges, and fire appears to have spread to neighboring stores.
As children, Tamerlan and Dzhokhar lived in Tokmok in Kyrgyzstan. In 2001, the family moved to Makhachkala, Dagestan, in the Russian Federation.But I'm sure whoever bombed Makhachkala today wasn't radicalized.
His father said that Tamerlan was with him in Makhachkala, the capital of Dagestan, for six months and that they had done ordinary things, such as visiting relatives. His father also said that he and Tamerlan visited Chechnya twice, to see relatives there and to receive Tamerlan's new Russian passport. While Tsarnaev arrived in Russia in January 2012, however, he only arrived in Dagestan around March, and his father arrived there in May...
October 21, 2013
Terrorist Attack in Russia
Update: Here is video that appears to be of the attack.
Reports are the bomber was female, one 30-year-old Naida Asiyalova.
She died in the 'suicide attack' alongside her victims. But this was not the same as earlier outrages when 'black widow' killers have been involved.
Asiyalova's husband remains alive and was named as Dmitry Sokolov, aged 21, a native of Krasnoyarsk.
Three years ago he went to Dagestan without notifying his parents, say reports, and he is known to have studied both Wahhabism and explosives.
He met and married Asiyalova in Moscow, it is claimed.
September 11, 2013
Old Joke: Where Do Russian Generals Keep Their Arms?
New Punchline: In Iran, duh.
September 05, 2013
They Said if I Voted for Mitt Romney that Relations with Russia Would Fall to a New Low
And they were right.
Sorry, I got nothing else and the rest of the Jawa crew seem to be on strike over working conditions.
July 02, 2013
Ministry of Irony: Snowden Seeking Assylum in Nation Who Founded KGB
Layers upon layers of irony in that Snowden is seeking to stay in the the USSR, hiding from the United States' surveillance state.
Edward Snowden has abandoned his effort to seek asylum in Russia after President Vladimir Putin warned that he would have to stop leaking information about U.S. surveillance programs if he wanted to stay, a Russian official said Tuesday.What? You thought Putin, former head of the KGB, was like against domestic surveillance?
I don't even know where to begin on that.
Video: Russian Proton Rocket Fail
We don't need a space shuttle, we can pay out the ass to ride a Russian rocket.
An unmanned Russian rocket veered off course and exploded in a fireball Tuesday, seconds after liftoff from a launch pad in Kazakhstan.I sense a plot to destroy the Jedi.
There were no immediate reports of casualties.
The Proton-M rocket was carrying three satellites for Russia's Global Navigation Satellite System, or Glonass, reported the RIA Novosti news agency.
June 24, 2013
Putin Takes His Turn
Former U.S. spy agency contractor Edward Snowden's whereabouts were a mystery on Monday as Russia defied White House pressure to send him back to the United States and stop him fleeing Moscow on his globe-crossing escape from U.S. prosecution.Putin reportedly described Brono Bamma as very bendy.
Snowden, whose exposure of secret U.S. government surveillance raised questions about intrusions into private lives, was allowed to leave Hong Kong on Sunday after Washington had asked the Chinese territory to arrest him on espionage charges.
The 30-year-old flew to Moscow as a transit stop before heading elsewhere, several sources said. But reports that he would fly to Cuba were put in doubt when witnesses could not see him on the plane, despite heightened security before take-off.
May 30, 2013
The Kremlin's English Language Network's New Program: Politics with Larry King
I hope he knows he can't rag on Putin and stuff.
"I would rather ask questions to people of positions of power than speak on their behalf," King says in RT's new promotion for the show. "And that's why you can find my show, Larry King Now, right here on RT."Well at least it's not Iran's Press TV. To be a fan of the mad mullahs would be way crazy.
All of which raises the question: Does Larry King realize who he's working for? This is RT, the Kremlin's English-language network. It's propaganda under the thinnest of veils. Facts and supporting arguments be damned, RT is known for peddling the Russian government's policies[...[
Well, maybe King does know who he's working for. The New York Times points out that he's something of a fan of Russian President Vladimir Putin. But the move still seems strange for someone who considers himself a genuine journalist. I mean, has the celebrated host even seen RT?
May 25, 2013
Dagestan: Splodey Ho™ Injures 18 Including 2 Children
The Tsarnaev's stomping ground.
MAKHACHKALA, Russia (AP) – A female suicide bomber blew herself up in the southern Russian region of Dagestan on Saturday injuring at least 18, including two children and five police officers, police said. The attacker was later identified as a widow of two Islamic radicals killed by security forcesThird time's the
It was the first suicide bombing in Dagestan since the Boston Marathon bombings last month. The Tsarnaev brothers suspected of carrying out those attacks are ethnic Chechens who lived in this turbulent Caucasus province before moving to the U.S. Tamerlan Tsarnaev, the elder brother who was killed a shootout with police days after the April 15 bombings, spent six months in Dagestan in 2012[...]
The woman was identified as Madina Alieva, 25, who married an Islamist who was killed in 2009 and then wedded another Islamic radical who was gunned down last year, police spokeswoman Fatina Ubaidatova said.
The bombers are often called “black widows” in Russia because many are the widows, or other relatives, of militants killed by security forces. Islamic militants are believed to convince “black widows” that a suicide bombing will reunite them with their dead relatives beyond the grave[More...]
Stupid Ho's™ for believing the cowardly mujahideen.
April 30, 2013
Al-Qaeda Sympathizers Protest At US Embassy In Austria In Support Of #BostonBombers
An Austrian state news agency АРА reported on the story in an article "Activists demonstrate in Vienna in support for Tsarnaevs (Aktivisten demonstrieren in Wien für Tsarnaev)":Betcha some under the burkhas are men.
"On Thursday afternoon, at around 4:00 pm, a demonstration was held in Vienna to show solidarity with the two brothers who allegedly bombed the Boston Marathon.
"Muslims always hold together, no matter what happens...! We all know that the two Chechens are innocent!", shouted the organizers.
If you are not a regular Jawa Report reader, the Kavkaz Center is al-Qaeda's Russian mouthpiece. When the Boston bombing first happened they were pretty quiet and now they are back to their regular jihadi propaganda program.
As Rusty has noted: "The Kavkaz Center, much like the "Voice of Jihad", Taliban's propaganda website [which has been pwnd several times by Jawas], no intelligence can be gained. Both are used for terrorist propaganda, only".
In the past they have called us Zionists. Like, that is a badge of honor here! Plus, they don't like boobies!
April 26, 2013
Apple Doesn't Fall Far From Tree: Tsarnaeva Mom Also on Terror Watch List
Color me unshocked in the slightest:
Russian officials warned authorities in the United States about the mother of the bombing suspects in 2011, and she was also added to a terror watch list, according to CNN.Immigration reform: I don't think that phrase means what you think it means.
April 24, 2013
FBI Warned Multiple Times About Boston Bomber
Oops, Islamic Emirate of the Caucuses is Designated FTO
First we were told the FBI had been warned about Tamerlan Tsarnaev in 2010. Then we were told that they had been warned a second time in 2012. Now, the Boston Globe is reporting that the FBI had been warned "multiple times". So, more than twice?
Russian authorities contacted the US government with concerns about Tamerlan Tsarnaev not once but “multiple’’ times, including an alert it sent after he was first investigated by FBI agents in Boston, raising new questions about whether the FBI should have paid more attention to the suspected Boston Marathon bomber, US senators briefed on the investigation said Tuesday.We're also now learning that Tsarnaev was on a flight watch list, but that his watch status had expired by the time he flew back to the US. I'm not sure what the big deal is about this: being on a watch list doesn't mean much other than you get not only the usual hassle by the TSA, but go through secondary and tertiary hassles as well. In other words, being on or off the "watch list" would have done precisely zilch since.
But if the reports about multiple warnings from Moscow pan out, then I'm becoming increasingly sure of my theory about why Tamerlan Tsarnaev was given a pass by the FBI.
It's because the US State Department refuses to list the violent Islamist extremists in Chechnya and Dagestan as "terrorists".
So, the FBI goes to investigate Tsarnaev. That he's linked to websites like the Kavkaz Center or VDagestan. But since The Islamic Emirate of the Caucuses and affiliated groups haven't been designated "terrorists" by State then they FBI has nothing to go on to further the investigation.
By definition Tsarnaev isn't linked to terrorists. Chechen rebels = not terrorist.
This isn't a matter of semantics, it's a matter of law.
The FBI is being truthful when they say they couldn't investigate Tamerlan Tsarnaev further because according to their own definitional guidelines he was not linked to "terrorists".
As far as I can gather, only the leader of the group -- Dokku Umarav -- has been designated a terrorist, but the group itself has not.
So, blame Hillary Clinton for the Boston bombings. It was her State Department, which she led during the period in which the Russians warned us, which failed to designate the Chechen separatists as "terrorists".
UPDATE by Rusty: Oops, it looks like I was wrong here. The Islamic Emirate of the Caucuses has been designated an FTO -- and it was on Hillary's watch that it was done.
So, my initial theory has to be wrong. I'll go ahead an leave the post so I won't be accused of pushing something I said which proved to be wrong down the memory hole.
As I tell my students frequently: being surprised at being wrong is something that happens only to the young or extremely arrogant.
But I can't help but wonder the extent to which the Chechen jihad is on the radar of the FBI? Certainly it will be now, but prior to the Boston bombings? I'm guessing not so much.
I also can't help but wonder the extent to which this designation covers Dagestani rebels? If federal agents would even be aware of the connection between groups operating in Dagestan and in Chechnya?
Ok, so there you have it. I was wrong. I don't expect it will be the last time.
April 23, 2013
On Russians and Chechens
Since I lived in Moscow for a year and Max Lindenman brings this up, let me just say that my own experience of Russian attitudes towards Chechens was very similar. I was there basically at the same time as Max was, and there wasn't a day that went by that I didn't see the police hassling people who looked Chechen, Turkish, or Roma (Gypsy).
And when I say hassling, I mean the overt kind of racism you might have experienced in the South 75 years ago. Not the he gave me a dirty look kind that passes for "racism" these days.
I can't speak to the extent to which that has changed in the past 15 years. Hopefully, for the better.
But the fact that the Chechens might have legitimate grievances does not take away from the fact that The Islamic Emirate of the Caucuses and related groups are terrorists. And if you work for the State Department, you really should keep this in mind the next time you consider who to put on the FTO list.
April 21, 2013
Dagestan: Mujahideen Of The Caucases Emirate: We Weren't Behind #BostonBombingWe Don't Kill Innocents?
A jihadi forum carried this:
New statement from Wilayah Dagestan of the Caucasus Emirate: “In Relation to Events in Boston”As an example, the families of these children would heartily disagree with his statement about strikes against civilians. Dr Zuhdi Jasser, whom I just did a previous post on, narrates this:
After the events in Boston, the US, information has been distributed in the press saying that one of the Tsarnaev brothers spent 6 months in Dagestan in 2012. On this basis, there are speculative assumptions that he may have been associated with the Mujahideen of the Caucasus Emirate, in particular with the Mujahideen of Dagestan.
The Command of the Province of Dagestan indicates in this regard that the Caucasian Mujahideen are not fighting against the United States of America[they have fought in other theaters such as Afghanistan, against Americans..ed]. We are at war with Russia, which is not only responsible for the occupation of the Caucasus, but also for heinous crimes against Muslims.
Also, remember that even in respect to the enemy state of Russia, which is fighting the Caucasus Emirate, there is an order by the Emir Dokku Umarov, which prohibits strikes on civilian targets.[See video below..ed]
In this regard, the Command of the Mujahideen of the Province of Dagestan urges the media, primarily the American, to halt speculations and promotion of Russian propaganda.
If the US government is really interested in establishing the true organizers of Boston bombings, and not in complicity with the Russian show, it should focus on the involvement of Russian security services in the events.
Command of the Mujahideen of the Caucasus Emirate Province of Dagestan
Image credit Zionist Bandwidth Bitch™
March 08, 2013
I Love the Smell of Dead Chechen Terrorists in the Morning
Say what you will about Russian democracy, freedom, and foreign policy: they do know how to kill terrorists:
Security forces in Russia killed the leader of one of the rebel groups fighting to create an Islamist state in the North Caucasus and two other terrorists on Thursday, said Russia's anti-terrorism committee....Also, their women are very hot. Just thought I'd throw that in there for no particular reason.
The dead leader, Adam Khushalayev, who had adopted the name Abu-Malik, had been wanted for over a decade, and had taken over as head of a insurgent group after its leaders were killed in January.
February 15, 2013
@Abu_AbdiLLah2 Likes To Tweet Beheading Videos From Google's YouTube
Translation of the below tweet: " @meankitteh1 accept my gift :)"
Jihad Tube and TwitJihad suck testes.
Update by Howie: Video and Youtube user Saad al-Zorgi PWNED.
February 13, 2013
Dagestan: Cross Worshipers vs Cube Worshipers
January 25, 2013
Two Top Chechen Jihadis Killed
You gotta love the Russians. Sure, their foreign policy sucks and their electoral system is almost, but not quite, as corrupt as Chicago's -- but they do produce smokin' hot women and know how to deal with jihadis: by killing them:
Two of the most wanted Islamist rebels in Chechnya were among 14 people killed in a shootout between Russian forces and militants, Interfax news agency said on Thursday.For their part, the Kavkaz Center is neither confirming nor denying the death of the brothers. In fact, if you read their statement carefully you learn that the last communication from the jihadi cell was that they were surrounded and under attack. Then, nothing more
Brothers Khuseyn and Muslim Gakayev have been accused of organising several high-profile attacks, most recently a suicide bomb attack on an interior ministry vehicle that killed four people last August.
They were also blamed for an attack on the Chechen parliament in 2010 when at least six people died, and an assassination attempt at the residence of Moscow-backed Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov.
On the night of Thursday Kavkaz Center received a message about the encirclement of the Mujahideen in the Vedeno district.Yes, I'm quite sure it was Allah's will that the al Qaeda types were surrounded and killed.
It said that large forces of puppets, supported by invaders, including by aircraft and artillery, have surrounded a group of Mujahideen by the will of Allah.
Sounds kind of like a confirmation to me.
Hat tip: Rantburg