November 21, 2015

Rusty's Plan for ISIS, Europe, and Pretty Much Everything from Now On

What have I learned over the past decade and a half? No matter how hard we try, there's nothing we can do to bring peace and stability to the Middle East. So, we shouldn't try.

So, my plan for ISIS? Nothing. We should do absolutely nothing.

If ISIS is a threat to people in Syria, it's time for them to pick up guns and fight back. Ok, some have fought back, but for young men of military age who are able to fight the option cannot be live in a refugee camp or migrate to Europe. The option has to be live under ISIS or fight. No other choices.

If Europe really wanted to end the conflict, they'd start sending "refugees" back home with rifles. And TOWs.

It's their problem, let them solve it.

Think of it as a sort of "draft" for refugees. Even in our own most righteous war, most of our soldiers didn't volunteer. There's a good chance that your grandfather didn't volunteer, he was drafted. 61% of service members in WWII were drafted.

And if they can't or won't fight and win, then ISIS gets a state. And if this state is such a threat to its neighbors in Iraq or Jordan or Turkey, then let Iraq or Jordan or Turkey fight them.

And if ISIS wins, then let the Europeans fight them.

It's time for the rest of the world to start pulling their own weight. I'm done with helping out countries in the Middle East. Protecting maps that I did not help draw and which need to be redrawn any way.

But Rusty, you might say, what about Israel?!? The same goes with Israel. I support Israel's right to self defense, but as far as I can tell the only people helped by our "support" of Israel since the mid 1970s have been Israel's enemies.

Wars start for many reasons, but one of those reasons is that new conflicts are often a continuation of the unresolved conflict. WWI didn't really end until the Russians left nary a building standing in Berlin in May of 1945.

There are also many reasons Europe has seen it's most peaceful 70 years in its long, bloody history. One of those reasons, though, is the mass ethnic cleansing that took place after WWII. Today there are very few Germans in the Sudetenland, few Poles left in Ukraine, and East Prussia not even a glimmer of a memory in the mind of Leftist protesters.

Part of the price of European peace and prosperity were paid by the millions killed in the war and displaced by the policies of "population exchange".

If the Middle East must go up in flames, then it's a tragedy, but it's not our tragedy. My instincts say that the Kurds and Israelis would come out on top of such a conflict. And these are pretty much the only two groups of people in the region that I give any amount of a damn about.

I say pretty much because such a regional conflict would also involve a lot of Christians in the cross hairs. Such Christians really ought to get together and come up something akin to Zionism. Since they are not safe in any Muslim majority country, it's time to leave and create their own state. If it was me I'd let them have as much of Lebanon as they could take by force, but I'm also not opposed them deciding where to go on their own terms.

Now, I know we don't live in the idealized world in which other peoples and other countries are prepared to solve their own problems. But whether they are capable of solving those problems becomes a moot point when we intervene and solve the problem for them. As long as we keep promising security, these peoples and countries will never take that security into their own hands.

I think the real problem here is that we have fooled ourselves into believing that human nature has changed. We cannot live with the idea of large scale war and suffering. When people suffer we must intervene, because .... suffering!

But war is just human nature writ large. Either fallen man or survival of the fittest, either explanation will do. People kill one another. It's bad, but people are bad. A person may be good, but not people.

People are going to suffer, no matter what we do. But trying to remove the symptoms often only prolong problems generally and in the Middle East specifically.

Not intervening and letting this thing work itself out is not an optimum solution, but when dealing with human affairs there rarely is an optimum solution.

Which is why, if we must intervene -- and I don't believe that we must -- then the next least worst option is -- and by this I mean less worse than the sort of intervening we are doing now which puts us in the forefront of ISIS's crosshairs without actually doing much damage to ISIS -- is ....

It's like Alderaan. It is as brutal as it seems, but there's no arguing that Alderaan was no longer a problem after the Death Star incident.

By Rusty Shackleford, Ph.D. at 01:43 PM | Comments |