June 24, 2015

Lies Damned Lies and Statistics

Today they NYT's engages in creative statistics in order to prove that anti government and white supremacists are more dangerous than Islamic Radicals.

In the 14 years since Al Qaeda carried out attacks on New York and the Pentagon, extremists have regularly executed smaller lethal assaults in the United States, explaining their motives in online manifestoes or social media rants.

But the breakdown of extremist ideologies behind those attacks may come as a surprise. Since Sept. 11, 2001, nearly twice as many people have been killed by white supremacists, antigovernment fanatics and other non-Muslim extremists than by radical Muslims: 48 have been killed by extremists who are not Muslim, compared with 26 by self-proclaimed jihadists, according to a count by New America, a Washington research center.

The first slight of hand is to start the count on September 12th 2001.

Because in order to manipulate the percentages the first thing you have to do is get rid of the 3000 killed on September 11th. The easiest say to turn a lie into a damned lie is to place some arbitrary limit that excludes the numbers that refute your damned lie, label it an anomaly. While including any supporting anomalies.

Quite helpful.

But even given the NYT's manipulation it turns out that 54% of the deaths were from Islamic radicals. Muslims in general comprise about .9% of the US population.

That leaves 35% of all domestic terrorist deaths committed by .9% of the population.

Whereas the remaining 99.1 percent of the population only accountable for 64% percent of the deaths.

Clearly when looking at percentage of deaths compared to the size of the population Islamic terrorists are the most dangerous.

Take the timeline back one day and they are clearly way more dangerous per individual.

Even if you take assumptions of the study here at face value Islamic Terror shows itself to be an especially violent problem. Way out of proportion to the population of Muslims.


By Howie at 10:16 AM | Comments |