October 07, 2014

Turkey's End Game on Kobane

Plans within plans.

or the last few months Turkey has actively prevented Turkish Kurds from crossing the border to help defend Kobane. Even though Turkey is a nominal member of Obama’s grand anti-ISIS coalition it has done nothing to help Kobane except to allow refugees fleeing the city to cross the Turkish border.

Kurdish requests for heavy weapons have so far fallen on deaf ears, which means that the YPG fighters in Kobane are outgunned by the US tanks and Humvees that IS took from the Iraqi army in the summer.

What explains this passivity? For one thing, Turkey will not lift a finger to do anything that might encourage or empower the Kurds, and regards Kurdish national aspirations as a greater threat to its national security than ISIS. The YPG is the fighting wing of the Democratic Union Party (PYD), the Syrian affiliate of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), which the Turkish government regards as a terrorist organization, as does the US.

In a choice between IS and the YPG, Turkey clearly prefers the former.

So what does Turkey have to gain at the expense of the Kurds?

The end game appears clear. Turkey will allow ISIS to become such a problem on its border AFTER the Kurds fail, then Turkey in the absence of any other power to push ISIS back will itself occupy the Kurdish areas in a ground invasion invoking its NATO membership to get support.

Telegraph: The president of Turkey has urged for ground troops to be deployed in Kobane as the key Syrian border town looks set to fall under the control of the Islamic State and of Iraq and the Levant (Isil).

The town has been under assault by Isil jihadists for more than three weeks and has become a focal point for the West's air strikes against the terrorist organisation.

On Monday, as fighting intensified around Kobane, the black flag of the Islamic State was seen flying from its buildings and a nearby hill, prompting fears that the town was about to fall under Isil control.

Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan has since warned that a ground operation is needed to defeat the militants, fueling concerns that US-led air strikes are doing little to halt Isil's advances.

"The terror will not be over... unless we cooperate for a ground operation," president Erdogan said in a televised speech in the eastern city of Gaziantep, adding that air strikes were not enough on their own.

And the Kurds, who fight valiantly against ISIS, will get screwed over yet again.

Turkey on the one hand will seek a Hudna with ISIS once it feels it has occupied a healthy buffer zone, while on the other hand claim it has saved the day for NATO.

ISIS' smuggled oil will still flow through Turkey and Syria.

It works out in everyone's interest, well except for the Kurds who will die to justify Turkeys actions and the US & Western powers who will be extorted to pay for the Turk's help.

*Look American's just don't think and/or act dirty enough to play in the ME. We just don't.

*I'm glad for that really. I don't want to live in a place like that. But we pay a heavy price for our naivete.

By Howie at 08:04 AM | Comments |