September 30, 2014

Oh No We Didn't Underestimate The threat

Or why James Clapper should be fired!Institute for the Studya of War:

ISW has predicted the rise of the Islamic State since 2012. Read our forecasts here.(pdf)
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) provides accurate geostrategic forecasts and advanced warning of growing threats. ISW analysts have accurately forecasted the political fragmentation of Iraq and the return of al Qaeda in Iraq (AQI), now the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS), since 2011. ISW analysts have correctly predicted the origins, pathways, methods, and aims of ISIS’s return.

ISW conducts strategic forecasting as a core intellectual contribution to foreign policy. ISW’s leaders believe that strategic surprise can be averted by monitoring the trajectories of complex problems over time, even from unclassified information. Over the last 18 months, ISW has published a number of forecasts that anticipated the resurgence of AQI, the devolution of the Iraqi Security Forces, and the emergence of the ISIS campaign to control territory inside Iraq and Syria. This document is a compilation of forecasts made by ISW’s analysts that have come true. Strategic forecasting does not presume that complex situations will always unfold as predicted. ISW strives to apply concrete knowledge of the present in order to deliver insight about the future. ISW hopes that this policy makers can use these insights in order to take a proactive rather than a reactive posture to emerging crisis situations and prevent their escalation.

Except that the guy doing the firing was also the one who directed him to say a lot of stupid stuff. I mean canning Clapper without Canning his boss is just, you know, pissing into the wind.

Or the President could just read Jawa Report.

A Google search for the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, starting in Jan 2012 and ending in December 2013 yields over 10 pages of results.

Among them.

One Less Website for the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria: rawabit.tv December 26, 2013.
Islamic State of Iraq and Syria Murder Boy 14 For Insulting Prophet Jun 11, 2013
What Do You Mean America Not Helping in Syria? Jul 29, 2013
Shocking News! AQI Claims Syrian Jihadi Front al-Nusra Apr 9, 2013
The Jawa Report: Shocking News! al-Qaeda Active in Syria Jul 26, 2012
Ansar al-Sunnah Leader Arrested Crossing Into Syria March 17, 2012
When Syria Ends, Europe is Going to Get Bloody (bumped) Nov 12, 2013

Hat Tip: Switched.

By Howie at 08:13 AM | Comments |