January 20, 2009

Gaza conflict an Iranian victory

Last week I wrote that the Gaza conflict between Israel and Hamas was really a ploy by Iran to prevent an Israeli air-strike on Iran's nuclear facilities before Obama's inauguration. Indeed, Israel was looking at options to strike at Iran's nuke facilities but were denied airspace above Iraq by President Bush. I correctly predicted that the conflict would cease around the time of the inauguration.

Yesterday Iranian President Ahmadinejad congratulated Hamas saying..."This is only the beginning of victory,". During the middle of the conflict, Iran had threatened to cut funding to Hamas if it accepted a ceasefire proposal by the Egyptians. The mullahacracy at that time still needed Israel to be preoccupied with Hamas. It also seems that Iran had crafted Hamas' military doctrine for the recent conflict.

Some of you may point out that Hamas was not expecting an Israeli offensive into Gaza in order to prevent further rocket launches into the Israeli civilian centers. But tell me what country would sit idly by when 255 Qassam rockets, 170 mortars and 7 Grad rockets were fired into it's territory between November and December 08? Perhaps Hamas didn't expect such a huge response but Hams did expect Israeli air-strikes. That was the whole point. To tie up the Israeli Air Force, so they couldn't lauch a strike against Iran.

Now with a ceasefire in place, Hamas is still in power, Iran still has it's nuke facilities up and running and Obama is now the 44th President of the United States of America. Iran can buy more time for it's nuke program through dialogue with the US which Obama has hinted at. After this conflict, all I see is an Iranian victory for the continuation of the weaponization of nuclear material.


By Kyros at January 20, 2009 07:39 PM | | l digg this