October 29, 2008

Is Maverick Closing on the Big Zero?

Maybe so...

rasmussen 10-29.gif

Who the hell knows?

The graph above is a (kinda-sorta) rolling average of the Rasmussen daily national data to date--which actually is a little bit redundant since the Rasmussen numbers are themselves 3-day rolling averages.

A rolling average of the polls posted at RealClearPolitics shows a similar pattern:

rcp - 10-27.gif

I'm not sure anyone knows what an average of two completely different polls means, much less 30-odd of them, having very different methodologies and sample sizes, all mashed together. I suspect purist statisticians shake their heads at the way we, the great unwashed, commingle completely disparate data together willy-nilly. Whatever the true numbers may be, I think it's fair to say that McCain's numbers appear, on average, to be rising and Obama's numbers appear, on average, to be dropping. The graphs above may not prove anything other than this: the numbers are NOT STATIC. Y'all should not believe the media hype. This election is not a "done deal."

HOLD THE LINE.

WALK THE PRECINCTS.

MAN THE PHONES.

GET TO THE POLLS.

GET EVERYONE YOU KNOW TO THE POLLS--and remember: CONSERVATIVES need to vote on November 4th, LIBERALS need to vote on November 5th.

By Ragnar Danneskjold, Typical Bitter Gun-Clinger at 01:33 PM | Comments |