July 16, 2008

Totten: The War in Iraq is "All But Over"

More on the we've won front from Michael Totten:

Im reluctant to say the war has ended, as he did, but everything else he wrote is undoubtedly true. The war in Iraq is all but over right now, and it will be officially over if the current trends in violence continue their downward slide. That is a mathematical fact.
Over the past few days al Qaeda has detonated several car bombs in Diyala. So, how is the war "over"?

Totten goes on to say that the violence may never actually peter off to nothing in Iraq, but reminds us that violence and terrorism are endemic to the entire Middle East.

It's not over in the sense that we can now come home. It's over in the sense that we've crossed a line where our victory is all but assured if we stay the course. Like U.S troops crossing the Rhine in 1945--there are still a few battles left in the failed Islamist insurgency, but there is little doubt what the ultimate outcome will be.

It may even be too late for Barack Obama to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Of course, that wouldn't be true had his "let's end the surge before it ever begins" strategy been adopted. But if (God forbid) he wins, he'll take office in January of 2009. Given current trends we should be in full peace keeping mode by then.

From the beginning the many reasons for my support of ongoing efforts in Iraq can be reduced to a single premise: America must win its wars.

Victory enhances national security, failure reduces it. The ten years following our surrendering Vietnam to the communists were a foreign policy nightmare. That single act emboldened and reinvigorated not only communists across the world, but also Islamist revolutionaries such as Ayatollah Khomeini who, rightly, saw that the U.S. would no longer keep its security commitments.

Ditto that in our initial response to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. And the killing of our Marines in Lebanon. And in Somalia.

Losing emboldens our enemies, winning frightens them.

I'll end with these two quotes which have haunted me for years now:

When people see a strong horse and a weak horse, by nature, they will like the strong horse.

---Osama bin Laden, December 2001

We experienced the Americans through our brothers who went into combat against them in Somalia, for example. We found they had no power worthy of mention. There was a huge aura over America -- the United States -- that terrified people even before they entered combat. Our brothers who were here in Afghanistan tested them, and together with some of the mujahedeen in Somalia, God granted them victory. America exited dragging its tails in failure, defeat, and ruin, caring for nothing.

---Osama bin Laden, October 2001

Liberals would do well to pay attention to them.

By Rusty Shackleford, Ph.D. at 06:26 PM | Comments |